Prospective evaluation of computer-assisted analysis of skeletal lesions for the staging of prostate cancer

BACKGROUND The purpose of this study was to compare the agreement of the bone scan index (BSI) using EXINI BoneBSI versus experts' readings in the initial staging for bone metastasis in prostate cancer. In addition, the diagnostic outcome was assessed in a large subset of patients where a true reference for metastases could be determined based on clinical and biochemical follow-up and/or supplementary imaging. METHODS A total of 342 patients had a bone scintigraphy as part of routine staging for prostate cancer. Supplementary imaging was obtained at the discretion of the referring urologist. After full recruitment, the BSI and the number of malignant lesions were calculated using EXINI BoneBSI, and three imaging experts independently classified bone status by a dichotomous outcome (M1 for bone metastasis, M0 for no bone metastasis). A true reference was available in a subset of the patients based on post-operative prostate-specific antigen responses after radical prostatectomy and/or supplementary imaging. RESULTS Software analysis with a BSI > 0 as the cut-off for metastasis showed excellent agreement with expert classification for M1 disease (96% of the patients) but modest agreement for M0 disease (38%). With a BSI > 1, the agreement was 58% for M1 and 98% for M0. Software analyses based on individual European Association of Urology risk classification did not improve the diagnostic performance. Among patients with a true reference, the software showed metastasis in 64% of the M0 patients but correctly classified metastases in all M1 patients. The sensitivity was 100%, the specificity was 36%, the positive predictive value was 12.6% and the negative predictive value was 100% with a BSI >0 compared with 66.7%, 97.8%, 72.7%, and 97.0% with a BSI > 1. CONCLUSION The diagnostic value of using EXINI Bone for the BSI in the staging of newly diagnosed prostate cancer is limited.